🏈🏀 TNF Week 11: Drake Maye's MVP Run Continues As Pats Seek 8 Straight

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🌟 Baker’s Note

Thursday night brings us Drake Maye's incredible MVP candidacy story as the red-hot Patriots (7-game win streak!) host the Jets, and the betting world has gone crazy - Maye went from +10,000 longshot to +275 MVP favorite! But the wildest action is in the NBA where Cleveland is drawing 88% of big money with a massive +34 point split. When the pros are this lopsided and an MVP race is heating up, it's time to follow the smart dough! 🍞

💰 Today’s Public Betting Splits 🎟️

🏀 Cavaliers -7.5 (-110) - Sharp money absolutely crushing Cleveland with 88% of dollars on just 54% of bets, creating a massive +34 point split.

🏈 Over 43.5 NYJ/NE (-108) - Public loves the Over at 51% of bets, but sharp money is only at 41% - fade the public confidence on Thursday Night Football.

🏀 Over 232.5 ATL/UTA (-112) - Consensus bomb with 88% money and 73% bets both backing the Over in this potential shootout.

🚀 Today’s Top Picks

Our model’s been kneading the odds all day like a dough-slinging degenerate—here’s what’s rising to the top!

• Hawks -2.5 (NBA) -110 | 3.0 Units

• Cavs -7.5 (NBA) -110 | 2.0 Units

• Jets @ Patriots Under 43.5 (NFL) -112 | 1.5 Units

Need More  

• Suns -4.5 (NBA) -108 | 1.0 Unit

• Suns ML/Cavs ML (parlay) +104 | 1.0 Unit

📝 ^{A "unit" is your standard bet size—use what fits your bankroll. We recommend 1-3 units per pick based on confidence.}

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📊 Top Player Props Degenerates are Betting Today

🏈 Thursday Night Football Week 11 - Jets @ Patriots

Prime Time AFC East Battle:

1. Drake Maye Passing Touchdowns - 2+ (Patriots QB leading TD props)

2. Drake Maye Passing Yards - 200+ (Dominating passing markets)

3. Breece Hall Receiving Yards - 15+ (Jets RB pass-catching role)

Other Hot TNF Props:

• Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards - 40+ (WR getting action)

• Drake Maye Rushing Yards - 15+ (Dual-threat ability)

Touchdown Leaders:

• TreVeyon Henderson dominating first TD betting (16% handle, 24% bets)

• Hunter Henry second in TD action (15% handle, 11% bets)

• Stefon Diggs and Breece Hall tied third (11% handle each)

🏀 NBA

1. Donovan Mitchell Points - 20+ (Cavaliers guard leading points market)

2. Donovan Mitchell Points - 25+ (Higher threshold also heavily bet)

3. Brandon Ingram Points - 15+

Other Top Props:

• Grayson Allen Three Pointers Made - 3+ (Suns shooter)

• Jakob Poeltl Rebounds - 8+ (Raptors center boards)

🚨What’s The Bar Crowd Yapping About?

🏈 Thursday Night Showdown: VSiN's Jets vs Patriots Week 11 TNF Preview - Complete Betting Guide - The red-hot Patriots (7-game win streak!) host the suddenly feisty Jets on Thursday Night Football with New England as massive 12.5-point favorites. Zachary Cohen breaks down why the Jets' 5-4 ATS record as underdogs makes them a live dog despite getting gutted at the trade deadline. Plus, OptaAI projects Breece Hall Over 15.5 receiving yards as a sharp play with Garrett Wilson potentially out. Mike Vrabel is just 1-2 ATS as a 10+ point favorite - fade the hype and grab the points!

📊 MVP Watch Alert: Drake Maye Becomes Betting Favorite to Win 2025 NFL MVP - From +10,000 longshot in Week 4 to +275 MVP FAVORITE entering Week 11! Drake Maye has exploded during New England's 7-game winning streak and is now BetMGM's biggest liability in the MVP market. With Josh Allen falling to +700 after Buffalo's upset loss and the Patriots controlling the AFC East, Maye can solidify his candidacy with a dominant TNF performance. He's getting 9.5% of the handle at BetMGM - the sharp money is piling on! Can he stay hot on short rest?

🎯 Player Props Goldmine: Covers' Thursday Night Football Computer Projections - Jets vs Patriots - Our computer model is finding MASSIVE value in TNF props! Justin Fields passing yards showing phenomenal alternate value at 175+ yards (+310) with the Jets likely trailing and throwing in garbage time. Drake Maye rushing yards 30+ at +145 is "fantastic value" according to projections. Breece Hall has topped his receiving total in 5 of his last 6 games. The garbage-time script is real - load up on volume props for Jets skill players!

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🍞 The Daily Dough

_{For entertainment only. Not financial advice. Gamble responsibly and within your means.}