Sharps Slam Jays, Public Pours on Braves

Your Daily Bread of Betting Insights – May 14, 2025

May 14, 2025 • Estimated Reading Time: 4 minutes

🌟 Baker’s Note
Sharps are slamming 89% of the cash on the Jays’ run line at +136, laughing in the face of a 49% public split. The barstool degenerates are piling 79% of bets on the Braves’ moneyline at -170, but the money’s a shaky 46%. Jalen Brunson’s over 27.5 points at -125 is the prop of the day—stack it! Cheers to beating the books!

🚀 Today’s Top Picks

Our model’s been kneading the odds all day like a dough-slinging degenerate—here’s three picks to raise your bread stash. Cappers add yeast, but our system lifts the bread. Bet ‘em or you’re toast!

  • Blue Jays ML (MLB) -162 | 2.5 Units

  • Royals ML (MLB) +120 | 2 Units

  • Celtics -4.5 (NBA) -108 | 1.5 Units

Need More Dough?

  • Nationals ML (MLB) +142 | 1 Unit

  • Panthers ML (NHL) -140 | 0.5 Units

📊 Performance Snapshot

Here’s how our dough’s been rising lately:

  • Yesterday: 2-2, +0.6u

  • Last 7: 10-8, +2.2u

  • YTD: 41-33, +8.8u

📝 A "unit" is your standard bet size—use what fits your bankroll. We recommend 1-3 units per pick based on confidence.

💰 Today’s Public Betting Splits 🎟️

Where the bar crowd’s tossing their money:

Top Bet Volume 🎟️ (Most Tickets):

  1. Rangers ML (-225): 94%

  2. Mets ML (-298): 93%

  3. Dodgers -1.5 (-130): 92%

  4. Dodgers ML (-285): 92%

  5. Cubs ML (-225): 91%

Top % of Money 💰 (Biggest Dough):

  1. Dodgers -1.5 (-130): 99%

  2. Reds -1.5 (-112): 97%

  3. Rangers -1.5 (-108): 96%

  4. Mets -1.5 (-135): 95%

  5. Warriors/Wolves O202 (-110): 94%

Quick Takes

⚾ TOR Blue Jays Run Line at +136 Sharps are all over the Jays with 89% of the cash, but the public’s snoozing at 49%—bet Toronto to cover or miss the sharp money train!

⚾ ATL Braves Moneyline at -170 Public’s piling 79% of bets on Atlanta, but the money’s whispering at 46%—fade the crowd or get dunked on!

⚾ LA Dodgers Run Line at -130 Dodgers are the bar’s fave with 99% money and 92% bets—grab this -130 lock before the tab runs out!

Betting Splits 101: These numbers show the percentage of bets (how many people are betting) and the percentage of money (how much cash is wagered) on each side of a bet. A big gap between the two can hint at where sharp bettors (the pros) are stacking their dough, helping you dodge public traps and spot value in your picks. Splits captured this morning—check the latest odds before you bet!

🔥 In Case You Missed It…

Last Night’s Results

  • Our picks delivered blah results yesterday:

    • Record: 2-2, +0.6u

      • Wins: Guardians ML (MLB), Astros ML (MLB)

      • Loss: Cavs -7.5 ML (NBA), Reds ML/Dodgers ML (parlay)

      • Postponed: Phillies ML (MLB)

We keep track of every pick we recommend. Peep the full rundown here.

🍞 Knead to Read

Top 6 Player Props Degenerates Are Betting Today

Whether you’re sipping a brew or chasing a payout, tail these top player props from today:

  • 🏀 Jalen Brunson Over 27.5 Points (-125) Brunson’s dropping points like a chef flipping pancakes—bet -125 for over 27.5 and watch him cook the competition.

  • 🏒 William Nylander Anytime Goalscorer (+155) Nylander’s firing pucks like a cannon on a pirate ship—bet +155 for a goal and let him plunder your payout.

  • ⚾ Aaron Judge 1+ Home Runs (+210) Judge is smashing homers like a gavel in a courtroom—bet +210 for a dinger and rule the betting slip.

  • 🏀 Karl-Anthony Towns Over 11.5 Rebounds (-155) Towns is snagging boards like a bear in a berry patch—stack -155 for over 11.5 and grow your parlay pot.

  • ⚾ Bryce Harper 2+ Total Bases (+110) Harper’s racking bases like a thief in a jewel heist—bet +110 for 2+ and cash in on the steal.

  • 🏀 OG Anunoby to Hit 3+ Threes (+160) Anunoby’s splashing threes like a kid in a puddle—bet +160 for 3+ and make a splash with your winnings.

Till next time, keep your bets rising and your losses crumby. Share the dough with your crew!

The Daily Dough