🏈🏀 NFL Week 13 Sunday: Dogs Dominate Thanksgiving as Pros Hammer Falcons-Jets & NBA Overs

🌟 Baker’s Note

Week 13 Sunday is here after ALL FOUR Thanksgiving games saw underdogs win outright, and the sharp money is making massive moves - crushing that Falcons-Jets Over 38.5 with 91% of dollars while the public loads up on chalk like Lakers (96%) and Chargers (96%). With weather impacting multiple games and Jonathan Taylor facing Houston again, the pros are separating the wheat from the chaff. Time to ride this underdog wave and get the Sunday dough! 🍞

💰 Today’s Public Betting Splits 🎟️

🏈 Over 38.5 ATL/NYJ (-105) - Sharp money is absolutely crushing the Over with 91% of dollars on just 59% of bets, creating a massive +32 point split.

🏈 Under 45.5 BUF/PIT (-105) - Public loves the Over at 60% of bets, but sharp money is pounding the Under at 85% - classic fade the public on Sunday.

🏈 Dolphins -5.5 (-115) - Consensus play with 74% money and 77% bets both backing Miami to cover against the Saints.

🚀 Today’s Top Picks

Our model’s been kneading the odds all day like a dough-slinging degenerate—here’s what’s rising to the top!

• Bucs ML (NFL) -180 | 3.0 Units

• Falcons ML (NFL) -170 | 2.0 Units

• Timberwolves ML (NBA) -155 | 1.5 Units

Need More  

• Bills ML (NFL) -166 | 1.0 Unit

• Colts ML (NFL) -162 | 1.0 Unit

📝 ^{A "unit" is your standard bet size—use what fits your bankroll. We recommend 1-3 units per pick based on confidence.}

📊 Top Player Props Degenerates are Betting Today

🏈 NFL Week 13 Sunday - Full Slate Action

Rookie QBs & Weather Challenges Everywhere:

1. Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards Over 84.5 (Colts RB - leads NFL with 1,197 rush yds, Over 100 yds in 5 of last 6 vs HOU)

2. Justin Jefferson Receiving Yards Over 54.5 (Vikings WR - undrafted rookie QB Max Brosmer starting, line dropped too far for NFL's all-time leader in rec yds/game at 93.5)

3. Drake Maye Passing Yards Over 222.5 (Patriots QB - cleared in last 2 games, Colts rank 27th in pass defense)

4. Kyren Williams Anytime TD -115 (Rams RB vs Panthers - 6 rushing TDs this season, 32 rush TDs in last 39 games since 2023 start)

5. Brock Purdy Passing Yards Over 197.5 (49ers QB @ Browns - 200+ yards in 3 of 4 starts despite elite #2 pass defense)

6. Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards Over 49.5 (Broncos WR on SNF - Commanders secondary vulnerable)

🚨What’s The Bar Crowd Yapping About?

🏈 Sunday Upset Alert: CBS Sports' Top 5 Underdog Plays - After all four Thanksgiving/Black Friday games saw underdogs win outright, CBS betting expert Tyler Sullivan is doubling down on dogs! Houston's elite defense (1st in yards allowed at 264.3/game) gets Texans +4.5 at Indy, while the Raiders +9.5 could exploit the Chargers' decimated O-line (30th in pass block win rate). Don't miss why the Steelers, Browns, and Rams are also smart underdog plays! Ride the dog wave this Sunday!

📊 Player Props Goldmine: Justin Jefferson Over 54.5 Yards - CBS SportsLine Model - The all-time leader in receiving yards per game (93.5) has his line at just 54.5 with rookie Max Brosmer starting?! The model that's nailed 2,000+ top-rated picks projects JJ for 66 yards. Also backing Brock Purdy Over 197.5 passing yards against Cleveland's #2 pass D, and Rico Dowdle Over 59.5 rushing yards as the Panthers should lean on the run! Lock in these value props before the market adjusts!

🎯 Computer Picks & Weather Alerts: SportsLine AI Week 13 Sunday Projections - The self-learning AI that's crushed 2,000+ picks reveals A+ rated plays for every Sunday game! Major weather impacts: 49ers-Browns has 20+ mph winds with gusts over 30 (total down to 36.5), Bills-Steelers 60% rain chance, Rams-Panthers 75% rain. The model loves Rams -10.5 with Matt Stafford's MVP-level play (30 TDs, 2 INTs). See which A+ picks you need to hammer NOW!

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🍞 The Daily Dough

_{For entertainment only. Not financial advice. Gamble responsibly and within your means.}