- The Daily Dough
- Posts
- ๐๐ NFL WEEK 10 SUNDAY! Goff's Revenge Game vs Commanders + Loaded Slate ๐ฅ
๐๐ NFL WEEK 10 SUNDAY! Goff's Revenge Game vs Commanders + Loaded Slate ๐ฅ
Your Daily Bread for November 9, 2025

๐ Bakerโs Note
Week 10 Sunday brings us Jared Goff's revenge game against the Commanders after that playoff loss, and the betting action is wild across both sports! The public is going chalk-crazy on Bills (96%) and Lions (96%), but the smart money is making massive moves - crushing that Timberwolves-Kings Over at 98% while fading the public on SNF by pounding Steelers-Chargers Under at 86%. Time to follow the pros and get this multi-sport Sunday dough! ๐
๐ฐ Todayโs Public Betting Splits ๐๏ธ
๐๏ธ Most Tickets
๐ต Biggest Dough
๐ Over 235.5 MIN/SAC (-108) - Sharp money is absolutely demolishing the Over with 98% of dollars on just 70% of bets, creating a massive +28 point split.
๐ Under 45.5 PIT/LAC (-115) - Public loves the Over at 61% of bets, but sharp money is pounding the Under at 86% - classic fade the public on Sunday Night Football.
๐ Browns -1.5 (-115) - Consensus play with 77% money and 72% bets both backing Cleveland against the Jets.
๐ Todayโs Top Picks
Our modelโs been kneading the odds all day like a dough-slinging degenerateโhereโs whatโs rising to the top!
PIT Steelers @ LA Chargers Under 45.5 (NFL) -115 | 3.0 Units
Pacers +12.5 (NBA) -108 | 2.0 Units
Texans ML (NFL) -105 | 1.5 Units
Need More
BUF Bills @ MIA Dolphins Under 50.5 (NFL) -115 | 1.0 Unit
Ravens -3.5 (NFL) -118 | 1.0 Unit
๐ A "unit" is your standard bet sizeโuse what fits your bankroll. We recommend 1-3 units per pick based on confidence.
๐ Top Player Props Degenerates are Betting Today
๐ NFL Week 10 Sunday Slate
The Main Event Everyone's Betting:
Jared Goff Passing Yards Over 247.5 (Lions QB revenge game vs Commanders)
Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards Over 80.5 (Eagles RB on MNF vs Packers)
D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards Over 60.5 (Bears RB vs Giants' worst run defense)
Jahmyr Gibbs Longest Rush Over 15.5 (Lions RB explosive plays)
Garrett Wilson Receiving Yards Over 75.5 (Jets WR vs B)
Jonathan Taylor Rushing Yards Over 75.5 (Colts RB vs Falcons)
Other Hot Week 10 Props:
Quinshon Judkins Rushing Yards Over 81.5 (Browns RB vs Jets weak run D)
James Cook Rushing Yards Over 65.5 (Bills RB #2 in NFL rushing yards)
Chuba Hubbard Anytime TD +120 (Panthers RB coming off 2-TD game)
๐จWhatโs The Bar Crowd Yapping About?
๐ Week 10 NFL Hub: VSiN's Complete NFL Week 10 Betting Central - Your one-stop destination for everything Week 10! VSiN has assembled their entire arsenal of expert picks, AI projections, power rating mismatches, and player prop tools all in one place. From Tyler Shoemaker's best bets to Dave Tuley's picks and Adam Burke's favorite props, this hub has 10+ expert columns covering every single Sunday matchup. Plus get access to their new OptaAI Player Prop Projections tool! Don't make a bet before checking this comprehensive resource!
๐ Player Props Alert: CBS Sports' AI Model Locks In Jared Goff Over 247.5 Passing Yards - The SportsLine Machine Learning Model is targeting revenge! With the Lions facing the Commanders in a playoff rematch, their AI projects Goff for 278 passing yards against Washington's 28th-ranked defense. The model also loves Quinshon Judkins UNDER 85.5 rushing yards and Trey McBride UNDER 65.5 receiving yards. These three props parlay at +561 odds! The Lions remember that playoff loss, and the model says they'll air it out Sunday!
๐ฏ Revenge Game Special: Covers' Kyle Pitts Over 42.5 Receiving Yards - Falcons vs Colts - With Drake London drawing heavy coverage after his 118-yard, 3-TD explosion last week, Kyle Pitts steps into the spotlight against the Colts' tight-end-vulnerable defense! Indianapolis has allowed FIVE touchdowns to tight ends this season, and Pitts dominates against man coverage - exactly what the Colts run. The 6'6" monster has hit the Over in 3 of his last 4 games. This Berlin matchup screams Pitts breakout game!
Rate Todayโs Edition
What'd you think of today's edition? |
Spread the word and share with your betting crew!
๐ The Daily Dough
For entertainment only. Not financial advice. Gamble responsibly and within your means.
