• The Daily Dough
  • Posts
  • ⚾🏈 Monday Night Football & MLB Sharp Money: Bears Getting Love While Dodgers Draw 92% of Public

⚾🏈 Monday Night Football & MLB Sharp Money: Bears Getting Love While Dodgers Draw 92% of Public

Your Daily Bread for September 8, 2025

In partnership with

🌟 Baker’s Note
What a way to wrap up Week 1! The sharp money is telling two different stories today - they're fading the public on Monday Night Football by backing the Bears at +102, while joining the consensus on baseball with 92% of dollars hammering the Twins-Angels Over. Sometimes you follow the sharps, sometimes you join them - either way, we're getting paid! 🍞

💰 Today’s Public Betting Splits 🎟️

🎟️ Most Tickets

LA Dodgers ML (-316)92%
LA Dodgers -1.5 (-150)91%
SEA Mariners ML (-231)87%
SEA Mariners -1.5 (-105)78%
BOS Red Sox ML (-176)77%

💵 Biggest Dough

SEA Mariners -1.5 (-105)94%
LA Dodgers -1.5 (-150)94%
MIN Twins @ LA Angels Over 9 (-123)92%
SEA Mariners ML (-231)88%
BOS Red Sox -1.5 (-106)88%

Over 9 MIN/LAA (-123) - Sharp money is absolutely demolishing the Over with 92% of dollars on just 62% of bets, creating a massive +30 point split.

🏈 Bears +102 - Public loves the Vikings at 57% of bets, but sharp money is backing Chicago at 63% - prime contrarian play on Monday night.

Red Sox -1.5 (-106) - Consensus play with 88% money and 70% bets both pounding Boston to cover against Oakland.

🚀 Today’s Top Picks

Our model’s been kneading the odds all day like a dough-slinging degenerate—here’s what’s rising to the top!
  • TEX Rangers +1.5 (MLB) -169 | 2.5 Units

  • CHI Bears +1.5 (NFL) -108 | 2.0 Units

  • MIN Twins @ LA Angels Over 9 (MLB) -123 | 1.5 Units

Need More Dough?
  • WAS Nationals @ MIA Marlins Over 8 (MLB) -115 | 1.0 Unit

  • ARI Diamondbacks @ SF Giants Over 7.5 (MLB) -118 | 1.0 Units

📝 A "unit" is your standard bet size—use what fits your bankroll. We recommend 1-3 units per pick based on confidence.

📊 Top Player Props Degenerates are Betting Today

🏈 NFL Week 1 Monday Night Football - Vikings @ Bears

The Monday Night Finale Everyone's Betting:

  1. Justin Jefferson Receiving Yards - 70+ (Griddy king leading all props)

  2. Caleb Williams Passing Yards - 200+ (Second-year QB in the spotlight)

  3. Aaron Jones Rushing Yards - 40+ (Vikings RB1)

  4. Rome Odunze Receiving Yards - 40+ (Bear star WR looks to shine in second year)

  5. Caleb Williams Passing Yards - 220+ (High confidence in the Bears QB)

Touchdown Special: Justin Jefferson dominating first TD betting (19% handle, 35% bets)

⚾ MLB

  1. Juan Soto Home Runs - 1+ (Mets slugger heating up)

  2. Nathaniel Lowe Hits - 2+ (Hitting Machine right now)

  3. Francisco Lindor Total Bases - 2+ (Mets star staying hot)

CFB Weekend Look-Ahead

Sharp Money Targets:

New Mexico State/Louisiana Tech Under 42.5 - The weekend's most lopsided sharp play with 90% of money hammering the under despite only 18% of public bets. When professionals are this concentrated on a total, it's worth following.

Jacksonville State +3 at Georgia Southern - Classic reverse line movement scenario where 91% of money backs the road dog while public bets are more balanced at 69%. Sharp bettors clearly see value getting points with Jacksonville State.

Old Dominion +7.5 at Virginia Tech - Another sharp favorite with 92% of money on the underdog despite relatively even public betting (52% of bets). Getting more than a touchdown with the road team in what appears to be a sharp consensus play.

Key Takeaway: This weekend's data shows professional money heavily concentrated on underdogs and unders, creating clear contrarian opportunities. The betting splits suggest sharps are fading public optimism on favorites and high-scoring games.

🚨What’s The Bar Crowd Yapping About?

🎯 MNF Deep Dive: VSiN Vikings vs Bears Analysis - Discover why VSiN's expert calls this "the most exciting Week 1 matchup" and which prop offers plus-money value on J.J. McCarthy's debut!

📊 Prop Precision: Covers MNF Player Props - Discover why a 35-year-old receiver might be overvalued and which kicker could see plenty of opportunities in tonight's divisional clash!

💰 Longshot Gold: CBS Sports MNF Longshot Props - Find out which star has multiple value plays and how to turn a small wager into massive profits with the model's 22-1 parlay!

Rate Today’s Edition

What'd you think of today's edition?

Login or Subscribe to participate in polls.

Spread the word and share with your betting crew!

🍞 The Daily Dough

For entertainment only. Not financial advice. Gamble responsibly and within your means.

How 433 Investors Unlocked 400X Return Potential

Institutional investors back startups to unlock outsized returns. Regular investors have to wait. But not anymore. Thanks to regulatory updates, some companies are doing things differently.

Take Revolut. In 2016, 433 regular people invested an average of $2,730. Today? They got a 400X buyout offer from the company, as Revolut’s valuation increased 89,900% in the same timeframe.

Founded by a former Zillow exec, Pacaso’s co-ownership tech reshapes the $1.3T vacation home market. They’ve earned $110M+ in gross profit to date, including 41% YoY growth in 2024 alone. They even reserved the Nasdaq ticker PCSO.

The same institutional investors behind Uber, Venmo, and eBay backed Pacaso. And you can join them. But not for long. Pacaso’s investment opportunity ends September 18.

Paid advertisement for Pacaso’s Regulation A offering. Read the offering circular at invest.pacaso.com. Reserving a ticker symbol is not a guarantee that the company will go public. Listing on the NASDAQ is subject to approvals.